CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-11-04T00:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-11-04T00:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42368/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2 and CCOR-1 and STEREO A COR2. Source is the C8.8 flare from AR 4174 (N24E59) peaking at 2025-11-04T00:16Z and an associated minor eruption with small ejecta seen in STEREO A EUV 304 on/behind the NE limb at 2025-11-04T00:45Z.
CME Arrival Time: -----
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: -----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-06T10:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/42374/1 Model Inputs: 2025-11-04T00:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-63.0, Lat.=26.0, Speed=945.0, HalfAngle=43.0, Time21.5=2025-11-04T04:26Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-11-06T10:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=4 (kp)180=6 Other Location(s) Impact: BepiColombo with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-11-04T14:31Z Parker Solar Probe with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-11-05T12:53Z OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-11-06T08:00Z Solar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-11-06T06:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251104_042600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gifLead Time: 45.03 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Melissa Kane (M2M SWAO) on 2025-11-04T12:58Z
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